Once Molina has been. I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. (approx 1 - 2 per week). The best pitcher in MLB? 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. Let's take a look at Flaherty. 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. Eleven of the sixty-five are below Wainwright in terms of Hybrid JAWS. Look at that. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. . However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. His monitor score is only an 87. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. Dont hold your breath. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). All rights reserved. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Well have to wait and see. Adam Wainwright will make history as he will become the seventh pitcher in St. Louis Cardinals history to start a game after his 41st birthday. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). Godspeed, Waino. Your existing password has not been changed. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Astros @ Cardinals. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. Ad Choices Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. The oldest and wisest twin. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. His career just does not stack up to that level. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. . Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. And right now, he simply isnt there. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. But at least it wont be historically egregious. David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. Wainwright, however, has a much more finite timetablehe has announced that he is retiring. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. . Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. What injury? In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Velocity? PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Sabermetrics lover. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. by Retrosheet. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, . But theres no alarm. 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Adam Wainwright Future Hall of Fame Candidates: N.L. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. 9 mo. Adam Wainwright. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. Required fields are marked *. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Its early in spring training. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). . Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. The greatest lineups ever? The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Theyll defer. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. 2020 has given us many. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Adam Wainwright Stats. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend.