arizona winter forecast 2022 arizona winter forecast 2022

account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? It will definitely seem like it in January though, but we still have February, March, and April left, that of which can easily add more storms into the forecast. US Dept of Commerce The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. So, what about this month? The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Click on hotel for more details. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Please try another search. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. January climate data across southeast Arizona. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. National Weather Service video. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area Enter any city, zip or place. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. But when will it really start? SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Multiple locations were found. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. This ranks as the 11th driest water year period (October 1st to September 30th) on record. . You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall.